Tuesday, April 28, 2020

in two weeks, if there is no spike in cases

i thank You, God, that I live in Savannah.

I have been consciously making the effort to watch two live news conferences:
1) the one at 4 PM on Mondays, with Governor Brian Kemp;
2) the one at 10 AM on Tuesdays, with Mayor Van Johnson II.

Yesterday, the governor of Georgia again indicated his ignorance of science.
He acted as though all was well, just because it had been three days since businesses in this state were allowed to open and there had been no spike in the number of COVID-19 cases.
Really.
I can't believe he is still so in the dark about the incubation period of SARS-CoV-2.
I can't believe how many are ignorant of that bit of medical science.

Everyone is fine with the understanding how the common cold virus works.
Someone sneezes or coughs around another and then, three days later, that person is sneezing and coughing.
Three days later.
Not instantaneously.
The common cold virus gets three days to take hold and build up the number of virus molecules infecting the body.
The body's defenses require three days to recognize that rhinovirus as a threat, three days to start building antibodies to combat that virus.
Everyone seems to be fine with that medical science.

Well, here's a news flash, again, for those not in the know.
The SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus is in the same family as the common cold virus...
but it's the bigger, meaner, sibling with the wicked sucker punch...
delivering the blow long after you think you've escaped his reach.
The SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus takes two weeks after infection for people to have advanced to COVID-19, when they are showing symptoms of the disease.

Two weeks.
It isn't until that point that enough of the virus molecules will have amassed inside the person that the person's immune system would have created antibodies to try to combat the viral infection.
It isn't until that point that a test will be able to determine that a person has been exposed and become infected.
It isn't until that point that a person may realize that they have even been exposed... and further realize that they have been exposing others during that time frame.
Two weeks.

Mayor Van Johnson II showed today that he fully understands the medical science.
Repeatedly, he spoke of the two week window of observation needed between making a change and assessing the results of that change.
i thank You, God.
Savannah is so blessed to have elected a mayor who believes firmly in keeping the faith, but following the science.
Personally, I'll be following the data out of California, which is two weeks ahead of Georgia in this fight.
Specifically, when the mayors in the Bay area remove the shelter-at-home order, when they deem all there to be out of harm's way, I'll know we - hopefully - will just have another two weeks.
Hopefully.

1 comment:

faustina said...

Wow.
A new model, based on continued relaxing of the shelter-in-place order due to re-opening of businesses last Friday, promise a grim future.
20,000 dead - in Georgia alone - by August.
Damn.
The number of COVID-19 confirmed cases are predicted to reach 1 million, possible as many as 3 million, by August.
Damn.
Damn.
Damn.

https://www.wsbtv.com/news/local/new-research-model-predicts-second-covid-19-wave-georgia/JCMHZYN4OJAL7DI2H6E6PG37CQ/