Monday, May 11, 2020

opening spikes for georgia and texas


This graph is for five states I track. The graph is for total confirmed cases of people with COVID infection for the thirty days between April 12 to May 11.
That top line, in yellow, with the steeper rise on it, is California. That's Georgia at the bottom in blue, Florida in orange (get it?), Michigan in green, and Texas in purple.
Both Georgia and Texas "opened for business" two weeks ago and are now showing spikes, though the one for TX is quite pronounced.
No flattening of any "curves" anywhere yet, as all are clearly exhibiting lines going upward.
That said, Michigan and Florida seem to be doing something right. The lines for those two are not as steep, which means the number of cases added daily, though increasing as for all, is doing so at a slower pace.
I will continue to monitor the DPH sites of these five states every few days and I will plan to update again next week.
Y'all wear your masks in public, wash your hands, and please, please, stay safe.
I will try to make sure I do the same.

18 comments:

Brad said...

fb Brad Tatom

Can you make this shareable?

Sue G said...

fb Sue Gorecki

Thanx!

Josie said...

fb Jo Coleman-Williams

Thanks Tina. You I trust....the media...not so much.

faustina said...

I just couldn't take the "naked numbers" with no context.
Putting them into a graph lets me see what the numbers actually mean.

Venita's son said...

fb David Johnson Jr.

Need to show money being lost you would need a bigger graph to show that spike.

Kathy H said...

fb Kathy Hodges

Thanks Tina

bfrb said...

fb Kevin Crabtree

Per our discussion yesterday, both Michigan and Florida both have substantial bodies of water which are acting as natural boundaries. This is not the case with Texas and Georgia which are landlocked. It is possible our results are not a result of enlightened policy so much as natural boundaries.

faustina said...

I am sure the water around much of Florida has been greatly beneficial for their health.
I like that their DPH site distinguishes between COVID cases of Florida residents and visitors.

Christina's Nana said...

fb Venita Johnson

Thanks

Lindsay said...

fb Lindsay McCord Norman

I appreciate your work, Tina. Thank you!

Dave H said...

Dave Hewitt

Kevin Crabtree, New York and California have coasts but they’ve been hit hard.

bfrb said...

fb Kevin Crabtree

Dave Hewitt, they also have larger metropolitan areas with higher population density per square mile.

Josie said...

fb Jo Coleman-Williams

Faustina Smith: and that’s science!

faustina said...

fb As Mayor Johnson says, let's keep the faith and follow the science... or something of that nature. :-)

Dandy said...

fb Dandy Barrett

Do you adjust for population differences?

faustina said...

fb

No, I take the data as reported on each state's DPH site.
Well, except for the data from GA. Our state DPH has stopped posting that information ever since April 27, after hair salons and bowling alleys were opened up. So, I get GA numbers from the local news, cross-referencing with several sources.

Aunt Linda said...

fb Linda L. Walker

I appreciate this! It is very clear info. Thanks.

faustina said...

Well, hell.
The news tonight is that Brian Kemp made up the daily numbers for Georgia.
As in, fabricated them from thin air.
Apparently, money matters more than lives to him.
I had thought he had forbidden the GA Department of Public Health from posting the daily COVID-19 updates to number of infected people and number of people dead.
Perhaps.
But maybe they refused to post falsified data and that's why the information ceased to appear after the business re-openings on April 24th, 2020.
I think I will choose to believe scenario.
I prefer to only see one snake, not a seething, roiling mass of fanged vipers.
I prefer to only see the Governor's office as guilty of treason toward Georgia's citizens.
I prefer to see the politicians as the culprits, not the analysts and scientists at DPH.
I hope I'm right...
I truly do.